Talos Guides

DCF

Use hold period, growth, discount rate, and exit assumptions to frame time-based value.

Purpose

DCF helps explain whether return depends on operations, timing, exit assumptions, or capital markets.

When to use it

NOI is modeled.

The hold period matters.

A memo needs Base, Downside, and Upside framing.

Inputs needed

Hold period

Revenue growth

Expense growth

Vacancy

Discount rate

Terminal cap rate

How to read the output

Compare DCF output against simple valuation metrics.

Watch terminal cap and discount rate sensitivity.

Use saved scenarios to document the range.

Common mistakes

Over-precision in long forecasts.

Hiding exit assumptions.

Ignoring downside cases.

Next steps

Sensitivity

Monte Carlo

Report Center

Professional note

A DCF is an assumption framework. The memo should make those assumptions visible.